Thus far the excuses have ranged from "caucuses are undemocratic, so that win doesn't count," to "there were lots of black people there, so it's not really a win," to "those states will never go democratic in November, so we shouldn't count their delegates," to "we never planned on winning there, so it doesn't count that we lost." I think there've been a few more, but the basic point, made over and over, is that the only states that count are the ones where HRC takes the cake. And it's getting more and more desperate, especially over the last 8 races, several of which she couldn't even acknowledge occurring. It's only a matter of time before a direct accusation gets leveled... I think that time may have arrived. Here's why:
Apparently the weather is a little less than perfect in WI today. Snow, 5 degrees, that sort of thing. Not that that's unusual in WI this time of year, but it sure will cut down the turnout among those who aren't really motivated to vote. With that in mind, here's my projection for the HRC spin-room tonight, if Barack wins in WI:
"Unfortunately in Wisconsin, the inclement weather prevented many of our supporters from going to the polls. It is clearly unfair that low temperatures and snow disproportionately affect our supporters, while Senator Obama's supporters seem to have snow mobiles and studded tires. We do not believe that the results paint an accurate picture of Mrs. Clinton's strong support in WI and across the country. We have asked the Democratic Party to investigate whether the weather and the Obama campaign coordinated a plan for voter suppression. Because Senator Obama outspent, out-organized and out-inspired us, we believe that these results must be seen clearly as inaccurate."
That said, I have no particular feeling of security in an Obama win in WI tonight. I'm hopeful, but it strikes me that in many ways WI is like NH. Cold. Northerly. Full of white people who are willing to live in a place that's cold and northerly... And it's true that blizzards tend to keep the old, the lazy and the casual voter away from the polls. So I guess it is unfair that Barack's support trends young, active and passionate. It's that goddamned plagiarized inspiration. It's just not fair.
1 comment:
That stupid plagiarism story is everywhere. I hate it when the media fall for campaign BS. So much airtime for a non-story! Very obviously planted by the Clinton campaign! Blargh! Oh, Barack discussed and borrowed a line from his campaign co-chair, let's discuss it ad infinitum! Stupid, stupid, stupid.
I was reading a blog that covered some delegate math, and it concluded that if HRC doesn't blow out by 20+ points in WI, TX and OH, she's effectively out of the game--and the author argued that she should bow out at that point, for the good of the Party. We'll see if that comes to pass...
Here's hoping the NY delegate debacle sends a few more delegates Barack's way as well!
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